AI can lift electricity demand, which can improve the outlook for generators in the right markets.
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Price
$146.02
1D change
-12.76%
Market cap
$49.48B
Sector
Utilities
| Metric | VST |
|---|---|
| Price | $146.02 |
| 1D Change | -12.76% |
| Market Cap | $49.48B |
| Enterprise Value | $71.31B |
| Trailing P/E | 67.0 |
| Forward P/E | 13.0 |
| Price / Sales | 2.8 |
| EV / Revenue | 4.0 |
| Revenue Growth | 13.6% |
| Earnings Growth | -52.3% |
| Gross Margin | 33.2% |
| Operating Margin | 13.2% |
| Net Margin | 5.3% |
| ROE | 17.7% |
| Free Cash Flow | $-459.2M |
| FCF Margin | -2.6% |
| Debt / Equity | 4.00x |
| Current Ratio | 0.78x |
| Dividend Yield | 62.00% |
| Next Earnings | May 06, 2026 |
| Quarterly Revenue | $4.58B |
| Revenue QoQ | -7.8% |
| Quarterly Net Income | $233.0M |
| Net Income QoQ | -64.3% |
VST thesis lens
Power-generation beneficiary
Why it could benefit
- AI can lift electricity demand, which can improve the outlook for generators in the right markets.
- Vistra offers exposure to the power-demand side of the AI buildout rather than the hardware stack.
- That can diversify an AI portfolio away from semiconductors.
Moat / edge
- Scale generation assets and market positioning.
- Exposure to tightening power markets.
- AI demand can be incremental to an existing business, not the whole story.
What to watch
- Power demand trends in key regions.
- Realized pricing, hedge profile, and capital allocation.
- Direct exposure to data-center-heavy markets.
Key risks
- Utilities and generators are heavily influenced by commodity and regulatory dynamics.
- The AI link is real but indirect.